21
Jun
10

Paper: spread como proxy de riesgo

Is There a Distress Risk Anomaly? Corporate Bond Spread as a Proxy for Default Risk

Abstract:
Although financial theory suggests a positive relationship between default risk and equity returns, recent empirical papers find anomalously low returns for stocks with high probabilities of default. The authors show that returns to distressed stocks previously documented are really an amalgamation of anomalies associated with three stock characteristics — leverage, volatility and profitability. In this paper they use a market based measure — corporate credit spreads — to proxy for default risk. Unlike previously used measures that proxy for a firm’s real-world probability of default, credit spreads proxy for a risk-adjusted (or a risk-neutral) probability of default and thereby explicitly account for the systematic component of distress risk. The authors show that credit spreads predict corporate defaults better than previously used measures, such as, bond ratings, accounting variables and structural model parameters. They do not find default risk to be significantly priced in the cross-section of equity returns. There is also no evidence of firms with high default risk delivering anomalously low returns.

Link al Paper

Advertisements

0 Responses to “Paper: spread como proxy de riesgo”



  1. Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


Fun & Finance

Vimeo

Fun & Finance Rollover

Contacto

informes@qfclub.com.ar
"It is hard to be finite upon an infinite subject, and all subjects are infinite." Herman Melville

Powered by

June 2010
M T W T F S S
« May   Jul »
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
282930  

Categorias

Archivo

Ingrese su dirección de email para suscribirse a este blog y recibir las notificaciones de nuevos posts via email

Join 35 other followers

Web Analytics Clicky

%d bloggers like this: