Author Archive for Gaston Besanson



15
Oct
11

Humor du Jour: End Market Correlation!

 (Fuente: Infectious Greed)

13
Oct
11

Fun & Finance: #15, Charla sobre la Tasa Libre de Riesgo

En este episodio, Manuel le explica a Gaston que es la Tasa Libre de Riesgo y -de forma introductoria- que rol juega en los modelos de pricing de activos.

Siempre Mejor en HD

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11
Oct
11

Finanzas 101: Proxy Hedging

Tal vez es una serie de post más para finanzas 301, pero los ultimos 3 post de Quantivity hacen un buen capitulo de Hedging.

Proxy / Cross Hedging

“The root challenge of two current equity risk and alpha projects boil down to hedging using non-underlying instruments, known as proxy hedging or cross hedging.”

Empirical Quantiles and Proxy Selection

“(…)how to choose an appropriate hedge instrument, especially amongst several alternatives.”

Empirical Copulas and Hedge Basis Risk

“Of particular interest is understanding the dynamics of basis risk under extreme scenarios (both up and down), which are driven by time-varying stochastic joint covariation.”

11
Oct
11

Paper: Una vuelta por el mundo…

Equity Premia Around the World

Abstract: 
We update our global evidence on the long-term realized equity risk premium, relative to both bills and bonds, in 19 different countries. Our study now runs from 1900 to the start of 2011. While there is considerable variation across countries, the realized equity risk premium was substantial everywhere. For our 19-country World index, over the entire 111 years, geometric mean real returns were an annualized 5.5%; the equity premium relative to Treasury bills was an annualized 4.5%; and the equity premium relative to long-term government bonds was an annualized 3.8%. The expected equity premium is lower, around 3% to 3½% on an annualized basis.

Link al Paper

07
Oct
11

Seminarios MFIN-UTDT

 Es un verdadero placer comentarles que el QF CLUB ha sido convocado y contribuirá –en el 2012- con dos Seminarios a la Maestría en Finanzas de la Universidad Torcuato Di Tella (MFIN-UTDT).

 Desde la llegada del nuevo Director, Dr Germán Fermo, las dos ramas de la Maestría en Finanzas, Corporativas y Mercado de Capitales, se están nutriendo con una cuota adicional de alto pragmatismo y experiencia de mercado financiero, dándole así, un nuevo aire diferenciador dentro de la oferta académica. Según el mensaje de su Director, es esencial un adecuado equilibrio entre pragmatismo de mercado y sólido sustento académico.

En la rama que nos compete Mercado de Capitales / Finanzas Cuantitativas, se ofrecerán dos seminarios quants:

1)     Seminario de Ingeniería Financiera en lenguaje C++

2)     Seminario de Modelización Aplicada al Trading

La posibilidad de participar en este proceso, es un grato elogio para los miembros del QF CLUB, ya que los mismos tienen como premisas seguir educándose e intercambiar constantemente prácticas profesionales.

El empuje y la sapiencia de personas como Manuel Calderon, Leonardo Vicchi, Juan Manuel Truppia, Martin Merlo, Ivan Baumann Fonay, Lucia Cipolina, Matias Schapiro, Hector Bastidas, Juan Ignacio Ruth, Federico Kattan, Julian Baclini, Leandro Infantino, Carlos Tolmasky, Marco Avellaneda, entre otros, han hecho esto posible.

04
Oct
11

Tabla du Jour: Cinco meses en rojo

(Fuente: Big Picture)

04
Oct
11

Gráfico du Jour: Liquidez de Bancos Europeos

(Fuente ESIEB Research, via Zero Hedge)

04
Oct
11

Paper: El rol del Default en Macroeconomía

The Role of Default in Macroeconomics

Abstract
What is the main limitation of much modern macro-economic theory, among the failings pointed out by William R. White at the 2010 Mayekawa Lecture? We argue that the main deficiency is a failure to incorporate the possibility of default, including that of banks, into the core of the analysis. With default assumed away, there can be no role for financial intermediaries, for financial disturbances, or even for money. Models incorporating defaults are, however, harder to construct, in part because the representative agent fiction must be abandoned. Moreover, financial crises are hard to predict and to resolve. All of the previously available alternatives for handling failing systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs) are problematical. We end by discussing a variety of current proposals for improving the resolution of failed SIFIs.

Link al Paper

03
Oct
11

Paper: Equity Yields

Equity Yields

Abstract
We study a new data set of prices of traded dividends with maturities up to 10 years across three world regions: the US, Europe, and Japan. We use these asset prices to construct equity yields, analogous to bond yields. We decompose these yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which allows us to decompose the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that both expected dividend growth rates and risk premia exhibit substantial variation over time, particularly for short maturities. In addition to predicting dividend growth, equity yields help predict other measures of economic growth such as consumption growth. We relate the dynamics of growth expectations to recent events such as the financial crisis and the earthquake in Japan.

Link al Paper

03
Oct
11

Paper: Información privilegiada

Decoding Inside Information

Abstract

Exploiting the fact that insiders trade for a variety of reasons, we show that there is  predictable, identifiable “routine” insider trading that is not informative for the future  of firms. A portfolio strategy that focuses solely on the remaining “opportunistic”  traders yields value-weighted abnormal returns of 82 basis points per month, while  abnormal returns associated with routine traders are essentially zero. The most informed opportunistic traders are local, non-executive insiders from geographically concentrated, poorly governed firms. Opportunistic traders are significantly more likely to have SEC enforcement action taken against them, and reduce trading following waves of SEC insider trading enforcement.

Link al Paper



																



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